G1 Takamatsunomiya Kinen preview by our original AI
Wednesday, 26 March, 2025 16:47
Mama Cocha (Photo: Yuki Shimono)
This weekend's graded stakes races include the G2 Nikkei Sho and G3 Mainichi Hai on Saturday and the G3 March Stakes and G1 Takamatsunomiya Kinen on Sunday. Here, we focus on the G1 Takamatsunomiya Kinen at Chukyo Racecourse with our original AI.
Mama Cocha is a proven top-class sprinter, having won the 2023 G1 Sprinters Stakes. Following that victory, she struggled to secure another win, but in her most recent start, the G3 Ocean Stakes, she showed a powerful late kick from a tracking position in third to claim victory. The winning margin was only half a length, but she decisively outdueled her main rival in the stretch, making the performance highly commendable.
She finished 8th in last year's Takamatsunomiya Kinen, but the race was run on a rain-affected track, which may not have suited her. However, she has finished second in the G2 Centaur Stakes at Chukyo's 1200m turf course, suggesting no fundamental issue with the track itself. While the weather remains a concern for this weekend, she has the talent to compete at the top level. If the conditions remain dry, she should be a strong contender.
A Shin Fencer scored his first Open Class victory two starts ago in the Carbuncle Stakes, winning as an 11th favorite. He carried that momentum into the G3 Silk Road Stakes, where he won as a 9th favorite, coming from midfield and unleashing a powerful stretch run. Although he has won at long odds in his last two starts, his performances suggest that these results were no fluke.
Over the past 10 years, horses coming from the Silk Road Stakes have won the Takamatsunomiya Kinen five times, with two additional runner-up finishes, yielding an impressive win return rate of 258% and a place return rate of 141%. A Shin Fencer may not attract much betting support due to his recent history of upset victories and his first attempt at the G1 level. However, considering his strong recent form and the historically successful Silk Road Stakes prep, he should not be overlooked.
Satono Reve had a sensational summer campaign last year, winning the G3 Hakodate Sprint Stakes for his first graded stakes victory and following up with a win in the G3 Keeneland Cup. He then entered the G1 Sprinters Stakes as the race favorite but finished 7th. The race featured an extremely fast opening three furlongs of 32.1 seconds, and while he was tracking from a midfield position, the relentless pace may have drained his finishing kick.
Looking for redemption, he contested the G1 Hong Kong Sprint and finished a strong 3rd against elite international competition, missing the win by just 0.1 seconds. Though he did not win, the performance demonstrated his high level of ability. This will be his first race back from his overseas trip, but he has been working well in training and appears to be in excellent shape. With his proven G1-level talent, he should be a major threat if he delivers his best effort.
Mama Cocha is a proven top-class sprinter, having won the 2023 G1 Sprinters Stakes. Following that victory, she struggled to secure another win, but in her most recent start, the G3 Ocean Stakes, she showed a powerful late kick from a tracking position in third to claim victory. The winning margin was only half a length, but she decisively outdueled her main rival in the stretch, making the performance highly commendable.
She finished 8th in last year's Takamatsunomiya Kinen, but the race was run on a rain-affected track, which may not have suited her. However, she has finished second in the G2 Centaur Stakes at Chukyo's 1200m turf course, suggesting no fundamental issue with the track itself. While the weather remains a concern for this weekend, she has the talent to compete at the top level. If the conditions remain dry, she should be a strong contender.
A Shin Fencer scored his first Open Class victory two starts ago in the Carbuncle Stakes, winning as an 11th favorite. He carried that momentum into the G3 Silk Road Stakes, where he won as a 9th favorite, coming from midfield and unleashing a powerful stretch run. Although he has won at long odds in his last two starts, his performances suggest that these results were no fluke.
Over the past 10 years, horses coming from the Silk Road Stakes have won the Takamatsunomiya Kinen five times, with two additional runner-up finishes, yielding an impressive win return rate of 258% and a place return rate of 141%. A Shin Fencer may not attract much betting support due to his recent history of upset victories and his first attempt at the G1 level. However, considering his strong recent form and the historically successful Silk Road Stakes prep, he should not be overlooked.
Satono Reve had a sensational summer campaign last year, winning the G3 Hakodate Sprint Stakes for his first graded stakes victory and following up with a win in the G3 Keeneland Cup. He then entered the G1 Sprinters Stakes as the race favorite but finished 7th. The race featured an extremely fast opening three furlongs of 32.1 seconds, and while he was tracking from a midfield position, the relentless pace may have drained his finishing kick.
Looking for redemption, he contested the G1 Hong Kong Sprint and finished a strong 3rd against elite international competition, missing the win by just 0.1 seconds. Though he did not win, the performance demonstrated his high level of ability. This will be his first race back from his overseas trip, but he has been working well in training and appears to be in excellent shape. With his proven G1-level talent, he should be a major threat if he delivers his best effort.