G1 Arima Kinen preview by our original AI

Wednesday, 18 December, 2024 16:23

Urban Chic (C)netkeiba

This weekend's racing schedule will feature two graded stakes including the G1 Arima Kinen on Sunday at Nakayama Racecourse. This article will introduce three notable runners chosen by our original AI.

Since pairing with jockey Christophe Lemaire this autumn, Urban Chic has been on a roll, securing back-to-back wins in the G2 St. Lite Kinen and the G1 Kikuka Sho. While he fell short during the spring Classics, his performances this autumn have been nothing short of a resounding comeback. He established decisive margins over the competition in both victories, cementing his status as one of the top-tier 3-year-olds.

This will be Urban Chic's first test against older horses, but his recent form and the weight advantage he carries suggest he has a solid chance to shine. Additionally, the continued partnership with Lemaire is a significant positive. Over the past decade, horses stepping up to the Arima Kinen after winning the Kikuka Sho have performed admirably, producing one win and two third-place finishes from four attempts, a remarkable 75% in-the-money rate. If Urban Chic runs to his potential, he could well make his presence felt in this prestigious race.

Deep Bond is making his fourth consecutive appearance in the Arima Kinen, a race where he finished an impressive second in 2021, showcasing his affinity for the Nakayama Racecourse. While his subsequent attempts in 2022 and 2023 were less fruitful, it is worth noting that those runs came under less-than-ideal circumstances, an overseas campaign before 2022 and a tactically unsuited rearward position in 2023. These efforts can arguably be discounted.

Deep Bond remains a formidable competitor at seven years old, having placed third in this year's G1 Tenno Sho (Spring) and second in the G2 Kyoto Daishoten during the autumn season. His performances show no signs of diminished ability. With his proven stamina and a solid track record in long-distance races, Deep Bond could pose a significant threat if he can leverage his natural front-running style against this strong field.

Following her triumph in the 2022 G1 Shuka Sho, Stunning Rose struggled to find the winner's circle until her emphatic victory in the G1 Queen Elizabeth II Cup. In that race, she displayed remarkable poise, positioning near the front early before taking control in the stretch to score by two lengths. It was a performance that reaffirmed her high-class ability.

The Arima Kinen field this year lacks a strong contingent of front-runners, suggesting the pace could be slower than usual, a scenario that plays to Stunning Rose's strengths as a tactical front-runner. With fewer rivals likely to pressure her early, she stands to gain a strategic advantage. While the competition will be tougher this time, if the race unfolds in her favour, her tenacity could carry her to another standout performance.

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