G1 Satsuki Sho (Japanese 2000 Guineas) preview by our original AI

Thursday, 11 April, 2024 02:30

Shin Emperor (Photo: Yuki Shimono)

This weekend's racing will consist of three graded stakes including the first leg of the Classics, the G1 Satsuki Sho (Japanese 2000 Guineas) at Nakayama Racecourse. Here are some of the runners listed by our original AI for the Satsuki Sho.

In the previous race, the G3 Mainichi Hai, Meisho Tabaru secured his first graded stakes victory. While he didn't aggressively push for the lead, he smoothly surged to the front as if being pushed out. Throughout the race, he maintained his own pace without being bothered by other horses. Entering the homestretch, he effortlessly pulled away from the competition, winning by an impressive margin of six lengths. With the fastest closing speed, his victory was exemplary.

In his first three races, Meisho Tabaru utilized a late-closing strategy, but in his last two outings, he has opted for a front-running tactic, showcasing his speed. The tight-turning Nakayama track favours this speed, making it a favourable factor. Similar to his last race, we can anticipate him utilizing his front-running ability to dominate the field.

In the previous race, the G2 Yayoi Sho, Shin Emperor finished second. The winner made a sweeping move from the back to secure the 2nd position at the 4th corner. Despite a relatively front-favorable track and pace, Shin Emperor maintained the fifth position during the race. Although his response when prompted in the crucial phase of the race was somewhat lacking, he steadily utilized his strides in the homestretch to secure a place. Recording one of the fastest closing speeds, considering it was his first race after a break, the performance was commendable.

Last year, he also performed well with a second-place finish in the G1 Hopeful Stakes, demonstrating his top-level ability among his generation. With ample experience over 2000m at Nakayama and a consistent record of podium finishes in all four starts since debut, he exhibits stability. Therefore, we can expect him to perform reliably here without a major upset.

In the debut race last December, amidst a trend favouring front-runners, Byzantine Dream displayed an astonishing late surge from behind, securing a comfortable victory with a three-length lead. In the previous G3 Kisaragi Sho, he again raced from behind, in a scenario where the pace was relatively slow, leading to a late-race sprint showdown. Despite facing a challenging journey by racing wide, he managed to close the gap in the homestretch and clinch his first victory in a graded stakes race. While the margin of victory was narrow, his ability to overcome the late-race dynamics from an outside position was remarkable, demonstrating his high potential.

In this upcoming race, facing tougher competition compared to his last two starts, his recent performances suggest he can contend effectively. While he tends to start slowly and race from behind, if the race unfolds favourably for his closing kick, he should have a chance to make an impact.

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