G3 Ibis Summer Dash preview by our original AI

Wednesday, 24 July, 2024 23:12

Win Greatest (C)netkeiba

This weekend's racing will feature two graded stakes on the flat. This article will guide you through three main contenders in the G3 Ibis Summer Dash picked by our original AI.

In his previous race, the G3 Hakodate Sprint Stakes, Win Greatest ran his first race over 1200 meters on turf. From the start, he maintained his speed well, chasing from a favourable position on the outside. In the final stretch, he was in contention for the lead but was narrowly beaten to the inside by the winner, finishing in a close second. Nevertheless, his performance in his first sprint race was commendable, especially considering it was his first race back from an overseas campaign.

This time, the distance is even shorter than his last race, but based on his previous performance, he should have no problem keeping up with the pace. Additionally, having had a run after returning from overseas, we can expect his condition to have improved, potentially leading to an even better performance than in his last race.

Great Gainer won a 3-Win Class race last September and followed it up with his first Open Class victory in the Michinoku Stakes. In his previous race, the G3 Ocean Stakes, he finished 7th. Although he pushed hard from the start to take the lead, he faced pressure from the chasing pack throughout the race, resulting in a relentless pace. Consequently, he could not fend off the closing horses in the final stretch. However, while other front-runners fell to double-digit finishes, he managed to hold on for 7th place, showing more than the position might suggest.

This time, he will be racing on a straight course. In the 2021 Ibis Summer Dash, despite being in the 3-Win Class at the time, he secured 5th place and prize money. Despite not having an advantageous barrier draw (number 7), his performance on the straight course indicated a high level of suitability. Compared to then, his ability has undoubtedly improved, and we can expect him to achieve an even better position this time.

Dualist will be running on turf for the first time. As a 2-year-old, he achieved three wins in three starts, including a graded stakes victory, proving that he has ample ability to compete at this level. Although he has not won in recent races, it is understandable given that he has been carrying heavier weights in handicap races compared to other horses. Despite this, he showed his quality by finishing 3rd in the Open Class Muromachi Stakes four races ago and in the Open Class Ada Tara Stakes six races ago.

The key this time will be his adaptation to turf. His sire, Mikki Isle, has produced multiple graded stakes winners in short-distance turf races, and Mikki Isle himself was successful in turf sprints during his racing career. Given his pedigree, it is somewhat surprising that this will be his first turf race. Dualist has demonstrated strong front-running ability in short-distance dirt races, so he should not be outpaced in this turf sprint. While he is expected to be an outsider according to the odds, it would not be surprising to see him pull off an upset if he handles the turf well.

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