Main contenders for G3 Sekiya Kinen by AI
Tuesday, 08 August, 2023 20:47
Presage Lift (Photo by: Yuki Shimono)
In this article, we will give a brief look at the G3 Sekiya Kinen scheduled to run on August 13th at 15:45 JST. We will also shine the spotlight on the top three fancied runners suggested by netkeiba's original AI.
This week's graded races include the 1600m G3 Sekiya Kinen and 2000m G3 Kokura Kinen, both of which will be run this Sunday. We will focus notable historic trends in the Sekiya Kinen taking place at Niigata Racecourse.
In the past 10 years, horses that raced counterclockwise in their last race achieved positive results in the Sekiya Kinen. Six wins, eight seconds, and nine third-place finishes. Positioning and prominence at the 4th corner in the previous race. In the past 10 years, horses positioned within the top seven at the 4th corner of the previous race have achieved seven wins, four seconds, and six third-place finishes.
Although the Sekiya Kinen is run counterclockwise and with a long galloping track, making it seemingly advantageous for closers. Results in the last 10 years, suggest that racing towards the sharp end or tracking the pace have a definite advantage.
Now, let's introduce the three main contenders as identified by our AI as of Monday 7th for this weekend's Sekiya Kinen.
Trifecta for runners of the finer sex?
Presage Lift, made her debut in October of the year before last and secured a decisive victory by three-lengths. In her second race, the G3 Queen Cup, she achieved her first graded victory by defeating the subsequent dual Classic-winning filly, Stars on Earth. Although she didn't perform well in the filly' Classics, she has bounced back to formed as a four-year-old, she delivered strong performances against colts in both the G3 Kyoto Kimpai and the G3 Tokyo Shimbun Hai, finishing third in both races.
In the Kyoto Kimpai, she stayed-on resolutely from third position and put up a solid performance amidst all front runners. In the Tokyo Shimbun Hai, despite the disadvantage of starting from the outside gate (16th position), she still finished well to claim third. With a record of two wins and two third-placed finishes in four counterclockwise 1600m races, she seems to hold every chance.
Beautiful Day, although she is making her first foray into Graded company, she seems to possess the potential to feature high up on the results sheet. In her previous race, the Listed class Paradise Stakes, she beat Ten Happy Roses, a consistent performer in Graded races. In her second most recent start, the Azuchijo Stakes (L), she competed closely with Be Astonished, a horse with a G2 win on his record.
She took some time from her debut to graduate through the ranks, and initially, she didn't perform well in open class. However, her recent performances in open special weight races have been consistent. The momentum from winning her last start, has made it plausible for her to achieve positive results in a Graded stakes race.
Fierce Pride, the five-year-old mare won the three-win class Shufu Stakes in October last year, she went on to finish third in her Graded level debut, the G3 Turquoise Stakes. Although she struggled in the G3 Epsom Cup in her last race, this result can be excused as it was her first run after a six-month hiatus.
With the benefit of a run, she will arrive in much better condition and a better performance is expected. Also, horses by her sire, Deep Impact, have won three times in the last decade of the Sekiya Kinen.
In the weekend edition, after the stall draw, factors such as gate numbers, training times, and weather conditions will all be considered. Horses that haven't been highlighted at this point might surge in betting prominence, so stay tuned!
This week's graded races include the 1600m G3 Sekiya Kinen and 2000m G3 Kokura Kinen, both of which will be run this Sunday. We will focus notable historic trends in the Sekiya Kinen taking place at Niigata Racecourse.
In the past 10 years, horses that raced counterclockwise in their last race achieved positive results in the Sekiya Kinen. Six wins, eight seconds, and nine third-place finishes. Positioning and prominence at the 4th corner in the previous race. In the past 10 years, horses positioned within the top seven at the 4th corner of the previous race have achieved seven wins, four seconds, and six third-place finishes.
Although the Sekiya Kinen is run counterclockwise and with a long galloping track, making it seemingly advantageous for closers. Results in the last 10 years, suggest that racing towards the sharp end or tracking the pace have a definite advantage.
Now, let's introduce the three main contenders as identified by our AI as of Monday 7th for this weekend's Sekiya Kinen.
Trifecta for runners of the finer sex?
Presage Lift, made her debut in October of the year before last and secured a decisive victory by three-lengths. In her second race, the G3 Queen Cup, she achieved her first graded victory by defeating the subsequent dual Classic-winning filly, Stars on Earth. Although she didn't perform well in the filly' Classics, she has bounced back to formed as a four-year-old, she delivered strong performances against colts in both the G3 Kyoto Kimpai and the G3 Tokyo Shimbun Hai, finishing third in both races.
In the Kyoto Kimpai, she stayed-on resolutely from third position and put up a solid performance amidst all front runners. In the Tokyo Shimbun Hai, despite the disadvantage of starting from the outside gate (16th position), she still finished well to claim third. With a record of two wins and two third-placed finishes in four counterclockwise 1600m races, she seems to hold every chance.
Beautiful Day, although she is making her first foray into Graded company, she seems to possess the potential to feature high up on the results sheet. In her previous race, the Listed class Paradise Stakes, she beat Ten Happy Roses, a consistent performer in Graded races. In her second most recent start, the Azuchijo Stakes (L), she competed closely with Be Astonished, a horse with a G2 win on his record.
She took some time from her debut to graduate through the ranks, and initially, she didn't perform well in open class. However, her recent performances in open special weight races have been consistent. The momentum from winning her last start, has made it plausible for her to achieve positive results in a Graded stakes race.
Fierce Pride, the five-year-old mare won the three-win class Shufu Stakes in October last year, she went on to finish third in her Graded level debut, the G3 Turquoise Stakes. Although she struggled in the G3 Epsom Cup in her last race, this result can be excused as it was her first run after a six-month hiatus.
With the benefit of a run, she will arrive in much better condition and a better performance is expected. Also, horses by her sire, Deep Impact, have won three times in the last decade of the Sekiya Kinen.
In the weekend edition, after the stall draw, factors such as gate numbers, training times, and weather conditions will all be considered. Horses that haven't been highlighted at this point might surge in betting prominence, so stay tuned!